Thursday, February 28, 2008

Refuge Podcast # 56 - Mid-Session Review

Your source for conservative, Republican news, views and insight it is the Conservative Refuge Podcast. You can listen by visiting here:

http://theconservativerefuge.libsyn.com/

In our opening segment, a listener asks to hear more about the recent dustup concerning the request for expenses of our county legislators. The local media misses the real story but you will hear it discussed in this podcast. Listen in and share your thoughts!

Our blogger roundtable convenes with regular contributors Brian Griffiths and Op-Ed author, talk radio guest and fellow blogger Mark Newgent to follow up on our General Assembly Session preview. As we work through the midpoint of the regular session, how are the major issues before the legislature proceeding? Our blogger contributors offer their opinions and insights.

In our closing segment, we open the "Fat Files" to discuss two new reports on the obesity scare. First, a new call for an international solution to obesity even though the sponsors admit having no idea what effective measures would be. Second, a proposed state law in Mississippi would make it illegal to serve any person who the state deems to be obese.

Share your thoughts and feedback!

Spread the word!

Greg Kline
Host, Conservative Refuge Podcast

This installment of the Conservative Refuge is proudly sponsored by Carpe Diem Consulting, LLC, specializing in forensic accounting, litigation support, business valuations and expert testimony in the areas of white collar criminal defense, contract disputes and other litigation matters. Contact John DeLuca and his associates at 410-305-4487 or via email at jdeluca@carpediemconsult.com.

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Fun with Numbers

Just when you think all the results of the Maryland Primary have been analyzed to death, let me offer the following.

Candidates for Delegate to the Republican National Convention often include elected officials, party leaders and, yes, mere bloggers. How they did is often correlated to which candidate they were associated with but when you look at those who did not support the winner, John McCain, there are some interesting results.

What is the value of having a well know incumbent support your candidacy? Does the relative vote getting ability of convention delegate candidates say something about their viability for higher office? Which fellow blogger got the most votes?

See below and let the fun and speculation begin.

Results in the following form

Name (congressional district)(candidate affiliation)(total votes)(percentage of votes cast)

First, two of my RedMaryland colleagues Brian Griffiths and Mark Newgent ran in their respective districts.

Brian Griffiths (D2) (unaffiliated) 426 .6%
Mark Newgent(D3) (Romney) 163 .2%


Looks like Maryland's "Most Influential Blogger" has the bragging rights here.

How about members of the General Assembly?

Let's start with the boys with the Citizens for Better Government

Del. Nic Kipke (D1) (Giuliani) 2241 1.1%
Del. James King (D3)(Giuliani) 1034 1.1%
Del. Steve Schuh (D1)(Giuliani) 3262 1.7% (Schuh ran as an alternate)

For the self-appointed leaders of the MDGOP renaissance, this is not an impressive showing. Schuh even campaigned with robocalls.

Combined they got fewer votes than Del. Tony McConkey.

Del. Tony McConkey (D1)(Huckabee) 15672 7.5%

Before you chalk all this to the candidates they supported compare them to the following:

Del. Jeannie Haddaway (D1)(Thompson) 6250 3.0%
Del. Richard Sossi (D1)(Thompson) 2937 1.4%
Del. Susan McComas (D1)(Giuliani) 3414 1.6%

Del. Joe Boteler (D2)(Thompson) 1880 2.6%
Del. Tony O'Donnell (D3)(Thompson) 1819 1.7%
Del. Gail Bates (D7)(Thompson) 2017 3.5%
Del. Warren Miller (D7)(Thompson) 1202 2.1%

The Paul Delegates in D1 averaged 4180 votes for 2% of the total.

Every Republican delegate in the race, regardless of who they supported, got more votes than Delegate Milquetoast. Slots vote backlash? Does it say something about a King/McConkey matchup for the 33 Senate seat in 2010?

What about the Repbulican State Senators? Surely, more well established politicians solely representing a larger area can draw votes just based on name recognition, right?


Sen. Alex Mooney (D6)(Romney) 10540 5.5%
Sen. David Brinkley (D6)(Thompson) 6531 3.4%
Sen. Janet Greenip (D3)(Romney) 4842 4.9% (her aide Justin Ready got 6696 votes)
Sen. Allan Kittleman (D7)(Romney) 3666 6.4%



Sen. Nancy Jacobs (D3)(Thompson) 2672 3.7%
Sen. Bryan Simonaire (D2)(Romney) 2613 3.6%

Good news for a future Mooney Congressional run? All you Simonaire haters, what does this say to you?

But former elected officials and former candidates were on the ballot as well. Does it mean anything for their future viability? Let's take a random sample and I will leave it to you to speculate.

David Boschert (D1)(Romney) 7500 3.6% (former delegate and congressional candidate)
Dr. Gary Applebaum (D3)(Giuliani) 1908 1.9% (2006 congressional candidate)
John White (D3)(unaffiliated) 512 .5% (beat Applebaum in 2006 congressional primary)
Scott Rolle (D6)(Giuliani) 4730 2.4% (fmr. Fred. County SA and AG candidate)

And just for fun, here are some results for some present and former party leaders.

Does it help to be Anne Arundel GOP Chairman? Let's see how the current and some former chairs did.

Jerry Walker (D3)(Thompson) 884 .9% (current AAGOP chair)
Mike Collins (D3)(unaffiliated) 591 .6% (deposed AAGOP chair)
Mike Malone (D3)(unaffiliated) 545 .6% (highly regarded former AAGOP chair)

I guess is does not help much.

The real winners were the McCain delegates who largely were not elected officials or well known members of the GOP community. The elected officials who jumped on the Romney, Giuliani and Thompson bandwagons had varying degrees of success in overcoming their candidate's departure from the race.

Monday, February 11, 2008

I got a "B" from him in law school

My old civil procedure professor from law school, Brad Smith, has a great piece on the McCain dilemma for conservatives. It summarizes the basic reason we movement conservatives cannot easily bring ourselves to support this guy.

Read it here.

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Refuge Podcast # 55 - Conservative Soul Searching

Your source for conservative, Republican news, views and insight it is the Conservative Refuge Podcast. You can listen by visiting here:

http://theconservativerefuge.libsyn.com/

In our opening segment, I share the thoughts of conservative leaders and commentators on the burning issue on the minds of conservatives, how to deal with a McCain nomination. I share a piece from Michelle Malkin and lead a discussion about how conservatives can continue their struggle in a positive manner. Listen in and share your thoughts!

Our blogger roundtable convenes with regular contributor Brian Griffiths and special guest Brian Gill to discuss the issue of crime. As we chronicle how liberal leaders in Annapolis have created an environment which promotes crime, what can and should Republicans do to present a better alternative to Maryland voters? Our blogger contributors offer their opinions and insights.

In our closing segment, an update on our discussion of the Citizens for Better Government. In addition to what has been reported on the Conservative Refuge, I share an update on the group's response to the growing public criticism arising out of their recent campaign finance report. You will want to hear what questions the group will answer and what they will not disclose publicly and make up your own mind.

Share your thoughts and feedback!

Spread the word!

Greg Kline
Host, Conservative Refuge Podcast

This installment of the Conservative Refuge is proudly sponsored by Carpe Diem Consulting, LLC, specializing in forensic accounting, litigation support, business valuations and expert testimony in the areas of white collar criminal defense, contract disputes and other litigation matters. Contact John DeLuca and his associates at 410-305-4487 or via email at jdeluca@carpediemconsult.com